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Labor ahead in tug of war for Gilmore

28 Jun, 2010 12:00 AM
The federal seat of Gilmore is shaping up as a political powder keg ahead of an upcoming election as polls show Labor lurching ahead of the Coalition.

Just days after Prime Minister Julia Gillard was elevated to the top job, the latest Herald-Nielsen poll shows Labor's two-party preferred approval rating now leads the Coalition 55-45, a jump of eight percentage points in the three weeks since the last poll.

Straddling the Illawarra and Shoalhaven, Gilmore is one of the nation's most marginal seats, swinging Labor's way by a miniscule 0.3 per cent.

While Liberal MP Joanna Gash has made herself at home in the seat, retaining it since 1996, she has been bracing herself for a fierce battle after a boundary change cut her margin by more than 4 per cent.

The new Prime Minister's popularity will make the fight even tougher.

"I think it will be one of the hardest ones that we have because we are marginally Labor," she said.

Drama surrounding the Labor candidate set to take on Ms Gash will be resolved this weekend with the party taking a vote on Saturday.

After ex-footballer David Boyle withdrew from the candidacy earlier this month, the party was forced to return to square one, again calling for nominations for preselection.

"Whoever they put up, I'll have to put my best campaign forward and hope the residents of my electorate vote for the person they believe will best represent them," Ms Gash said.

Speculation that the popular new Prime Minister could visit the marginal electorate in a bid to tip the balance Labor's way have also been growing.

Pegged as one of the frontrunners for preselection, Kiama man Neil Reilly is cautiously optimistic Julia Gillard could set foot in the region ahead of the next election.

"It's a possibility, she has visited here before," he said.

In July 2005, Ms Gillard was in the region to hear the horror stories of residents languishing on the public dental health list at an Illawarra Dental Health Action Group meeting.

Despite insisting speculation of a return visit by the new Prime Minister was premature, Throsby MP Jennie George said she would be thrilled to see Julia Gillard return to the Illawarra.

"We'd be very keen, of course, to have her back in the electorate," she said.

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Date: Newest first | Oldest first
Federal, State and local level. Labor are fighting amongst themselfs and can't get their acts together. No stability! My votes for Joanna Gash. She is a hard working honest reliable MP. Who knows her electorate and cares for the residents. While Labour trys to sort out whos mates with who. Joanna Gash has been slogging away for the electorate
Posted by Julie, 28/06/2010 4:14:47 AM, on Illawarra Mercury
I trust that Neil Reilly get up at the forthcoming pre-selection. Neil is well known and loved in the Gilmore electorate as he has been fully engaged in community activities over the last 3 years when he went within 4% of unseating Ms Gash. I well recall when he secured financial support from the new labor government to insure the success of the Dunn & Lewis foundation for the youth of Ulladulla only to have Ms Gash claim her involvement at the official launch. Neil is fully engaged with the Cancer Council, many committees on Kiama Council and supporting the poor of East Timor and would make a fine representative for the good folk of Gilmore
Posted by JMCC, 28/06/2010 9:49:05 AM, on Illawarra Mercury
It sounds like Neil Reilly is too good a person to be associated with the Labor Party from what JMCC has posted. And Federal Labor had no time last week to reflect on the casualties suffered by the Australian Defence Force as they were to busy putting themselves first just like the NSW Labor Government always do.
Posted by whistleblower, 28/06/2010 12:47:06 PM, on Illawarra Mercury
JMCC sounds like Neil Reilly's Campaign Manager.
Posted by Johno, 28/06/2010 1:03:21 PM, on Illawarra Mercury
Neil Reilly should have been Labors first choice for the seat. He has been working for years for the Labor Party,and look at the thanks he received. He is a quiet achiever and gets things done with no fanfare. . Good luck to Neil ,if he gets the nod, he will win the seat
Posted by the observer, 28/06/2010 5:23:06 PM, on Illawarra Mercury

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