Nationally, the opinion polls may be tipping the Liberal Party, but it will take an almighty swing to oust Sharon Bird from the seat of Cunningham.
The ALP MP and former Shellharbour City councillor has held the seat since the October 2004 election.
Ms Bird goes into tomorrow's election holding a margin of 13 per cent, having won almost half the votes cast in the electorate in 2010 - 49 per cent.
That leaves her Liberal opponent Philip Clifford with a lot of ground to make up in order to claim the seat for his party.
Mr Clifford was Ms Bird's main opposition in the last election, when she recorded that 13 per cent margin, though in that election he did get a 4 per cent swing in his favour, picking up 32 per cent of the vote.
One other candidate vying for the seat in 2013 was also present at the 2010 election: civil engineer John Flanagan from the Non-Custodial Parents Party (Equal Parenting).
Wollongong City councillor George Takacs ran for the Greens at the last election, but former media studies academic Helen Wilson has taken his place.
At the last election, the Greens were the most popular party after the two heavyweights, with Mr Takacs receiving 15 per cent of the vote, just under a 1 per cent improvement on the party's 2007 result.
Also appearing on tomorrow's ballot paper are real estate agent Christopher Atlee from the Palmer United Party, Helensburgh resident John Bursill from Katter's Australia Party and carpenter Rob George from the Christian Democrats.
The electorate of Cunningham covers a wide stretch of the Illawarra: 721 square kilometres.
It runs from Port Kembla in the south up through the Wollongong CBD and northern suburbs, encompassing the Royal National Park before stopping at the Hacking River immediately north of Bundeena.
At July 31, there were 102,696 people enrolled to vote in the electorate.
Since the seat was created in 1949, it has been in Labor's hands for all but two years. Michael Organ from the Greens won the seat in a 2002 by-election (in which a Liberal candidate did not stand) and held it until he was voted out in the 2004 federal election.
The long-awaited Maldon-Dombarton rail link is the big infrastructure project for the region.
Ms Bird said the ALP would continue to work towards its construction.
"Labor has put $50 million on the table to work with the private sector to build this rail line.
"When I started campaigning for Maldon-Dombarton seven years ago, many people thought I was dreaming. Now it's on the way and every candidate supports it," she said.
That would appear to include Mr Clifford, who believes "transport connectivity" is crucial for the region.
"We need to get heavy haulage off major congested roads and onto other transport routes to increase safety and improve commuter times," he said.
Mr Clifford also said school education "is not playing a role in the 2013 election".
He said higher education institutions would have to ensure funding was properly spent.
"If the university and the TAFE continue to deliver a product that the community want to use, then there will be inevitable funding. The onus is on the university and TAFE to provide this product," Mr Clifford said.
Ms Bird said that federal Labor had invested substantially in the University of Wollongong since 2007.
"As a regional institution it is a key part of the Illawarra's economic transition," she said.