Annastacia Palaszczuk is set to win the Queensland election and take Labor into a third consecutive term but the result is likely to be tight and a hung parliament remains possible, the latest Newspoll shows.
The poll for the Weekend Australian puts Labor ahead of the Liberal National Party 51.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent, after preferences.
That would return the government and possibly improve its narrow two-seat majority in the 93-seat parliament.
But with 14 of Labor's existing 48 seats on margins of less than 4 per cent and the unknown quantity of up to 70 per cent of the electorate voting early the LNP has an outside chance to take minority government.
The poll confirms that both major parties pulled votes from One Nation, which shed 27 per cent of what it secured at the previous state election, down from a vote of 13.7 per cent in 2017 to 10 per cent.
Labor's primary vote remained steady on 37 per cent through the campaign while the LNP's slipped one point to 36 per cent.
The Greens are unchanged on 11 per cent while most of the remaining 6 per cent goes to Katter's Australian Party. Clive Palmer's United Australia Party has had negligible impact.
The poll shows 62 per cent of voters are satisfied with the premier's performance and 33 per cent are dissatisfied.
Satisfaction with Opposition Leader Deb Frecklington dipped two points to 35 per cent over the past two weeks and those dissatisfied with her increased four points to 48 per cent.
On who would be the better premier, Ms Palaszczuk scored 56 per cent to 30 per cent over her challenger.
Australian Associated Press